Cancellation Watch Scorecard: The Terror Enters Low in the Rankings

AMC’s season-long horror anthology The Terror returned for its second season last week and saw a notable drop in its ratings year-over-year. That has the show starting low in the rankings at the Number 56 slot, four from the bottom. Syfy’s Killjoys saw a notable ratings decline last week causing that show to slip three slots from Number 50 to Number 53. Most of the rest of the movement for the week was just incidental and you can find the full ratings coverage from this past week and the status of all the currently airing shows in our latest Weekly Roundup post.

The scorecard ranks all of the sci fi and fantasy shows’ ratings performance vs. their network’s ratings benchmark (see metric definitions below).  Shows at or above their benchmark should be okay, whereas those slipping notably below are getting into iffy territory.

Scorecard rankings based on the ratings through August 18th:

Rank (PW) Series Net Std Avg Net Bench % Var Status
1 (1) Game of Thrones (O) HBO 5.17 0.50 933.7% Final Season
2 (2) The Walking Dead (O) AMC 1.88 0.50 276.1% Renewed
3 (3) American Horror Story (O) FX 0.96 0.30 219.7% Renewed
4 (4) The Flash (O) CW 0.62 0.31 102.6% Renewed
5 (5) The Purge (O) USA 0.41 0.30 36.0% Renewed
6 (6) Supernatural (O) CW 0.40 0.31 30.9% Renewed
7 (7) Manifest (O) NBC 1.25 1.04 20.3% Renewed
8 (8) Supergirl (O) CW 0.35 0.31 16.0% Renewed
9 (9) Riverdale (O) CW 0.35 0.31 14.5% Renewed
10 (10) Arrow (O) CW 0.34 0.31 11.6% Renewed
11 (11) The Magicians (O) Syfy 0.19 0.17 10.9% Renewed
12 (12) Final Space (O) ADSW 0.31 0.28 8.9% Renewal Possible
13 (13) Fear the Walking Dead (O) AMC 0.51 0.50 1.3% Renewed
14 (14) Black Lightning (O) CW 0.30 0.31 -1.8% Renewed
15 (15) Legacies (O) CW 0.30 0.31 -1.8% Renewed
16 (16) The Passage (O) FOX 0.92 0.94 -2.6% Cancelled
17 (17) Legends of Tomorrow (O) CW 0.29 0.31 -3.9% Renewed
18 (18) God Friended Me (O) CBS 0.89 0.93 -5.3% Renewed
19 (19) Roswell New Mexico (O) CW 0.27 0.31 -11.9% Renewed
20 (20) Deadly Class (O) Syfy 0.15 0.17 -12.9% Cancelled
21 (21) Project Blue Book (O) History 0.31 0.36 -13.6% Renewed
22 (22) Outlander (O) Starz 0.17 0.20 -15.0% Renewed
23 (23) Charmed (O) CW 0.26 0.31 -15.2% Renewed
24 (24) The InBetween (O) NBC 0.41 0.50 -18.0% On the Bubble
25 (25) Agents of SHIELD (O) (F) ABC 0.41 0.50 -18.3% Renewed
26 (26) Blood and Treasure (O) CBS 0.40 0.50 -20.0% Renewed
27 (27) The Good Place (O) NBC 0.83 1.04 -20.6% Renewed
28 (28) The Orville (O) FOX 0.74 0.94 -21.8% Renewed
29 (29) Siren (O) Freeform 0.16 0.20 -22.0% Renewed
29 (30) Star Wars Resistance (O) Disney 0.08 0.10 -22.0% Renewed
31 (31) Z Nation (F) Syfy 0.13 0.17 -23.5% Cancelled
32 (32) Scream MTV 0.23 0.30 -24.4% On the Bubble
33 (33) MacGyver (O) (F) CBS 0.70 0.93 -25.6% Renewed
34 (34) The 100 (O) CW 0.22 0.31 -27.0% Renewed
35 (35) Gotham (O) FOX 0.63 0.94 -33.6% Final Season
36 (36) iZombie (O) CW 0.20 0.31 -34.5% Final Season
37 (37) The Gifted (O) FOX 0.61 0.94 -35.6% Cancelled
38 (38) Nightflyers Syfy 0.11 0.17 -36.9% Cancelled
39 (39) Krypton Syfy 0.11 0.17 -38.2% On the Bubble
40 (40) Cloak and Dagger (O) Freeform 0.12 0.20 -40.0% On the Bubble
41 (41) What We Do in the Shadows (O) FX 0.18 0.30 -40.0% Renewed
42 (42) The Outpost CW 0.12 0.20 -41.7% Renewal Possible
43 (43) NOS4A2 (O) AMC 0.20 0.35 -42.5% Renewed
44 (44) Van Helsing (F) Syfy 0.09 0.17 -45.7% Renewed
45 (45) Happy (O) Syfy 0.09 0.17 -45.9% Cancelled
46 (46) Stan Against Evil IFC 0.04 0.08 -46.9% Cancelled
47 (47) Pandora CW 0.10 0.20 -50.0% Renewal Possible
47 (48) Two Sentence Horror Stories NBC 0.10 0.20 -50.0% Renewal Possible
49 (49) American Gods (O) Starz 0.10 0.20 -50.6% Renewed
50 (51) Channel Zero (O) Syfy 0.07 0.17 -57.8% Cancelled
51 (53) Legion (O) FX 0.12 0.30 -60.4% Final Season
52 (52) Midnight Texas (O) (F) NBC 0.41 1.04 -60.4% Cancelled
53 (50) Killjoys (O) Syfy 0.07 0.17 -61.2% Final Season
54 (54) Into the Badlands (O) AMC 0.19 0.50 -61.8% Cancelled
55 (55) Mars NGC 0.06 0.16 -65.6% On the Bubble
56 (n/a) The Terror (O) AMC 0.15 0.50 -70.0% Renewal Possible
57 (56) Preacher (O) AMC 0.14 0.50 -71.3% Final Season
58 (57) Counterpart Starz 0.05 0.20 -75.5% Cancelled
59 (58) The Rook (O) Starz 0.04 0.20 -79.4% On the Bubble

Metric Definitions:

Rank (PW): Current rank based on the variance of a show’s season to date ratings average vs. its network’s benchmark (see definition below).  The number in parenthesis is the prior week’s rank.  Note that shows on the streaming services are not included because of insufficient viewership data and foreign imports like Doctor Who will not be included because they rely more heavily on their viewership in their home countries.

Series: (O) indicates the show is owned or co-owned by the network and/or a sister studio. (F) indicates the show airs on Friday when ratings expectations are lower on the broadcast networks.

StD Avg:  The show’s season to date ratings average based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic.

Net Bench:  (Network Benchmark) For the broadcast networks, this is the net’s season to date average rating based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic for non-sports, non-special, non-repeat broadcasts.  For the cable channels, this is the lowest level at which a show is typically renewed by that network if there are enough genre entries on that channel to provide a decent sample.  But note that with cable entries intangibles such as international and/or streaming partnerships can play an important factor in a show’s survival and that is not measured here.

% Var:  The percent variance between a show’s season to date average and the network benchmark as defined above.  The higher the variance, the better a show is performing vs. the benchmark.

Status: My assessment of the likelihood that a show will get renewed or cancelled. The statuses are Renewal Likely, Renewal Possible, On the Bubble, Cancellation Likely (plus Renewed and Cancelled/Ended)

Ratings Source: ShowBuzzDaily and TV by the Numbers

Author: johnnyjay

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.