Cancellation Watch Scorecard: Legends of Tomorrow Slips in the Rankings

The numbers for The CW’s Legends of Tomorrow have been on the low side since returning from hiatus and that has impacted its place in the Scorecard as it slipped four slots in the rankings this past week from Number 12 to Number 16. That one has already been renewed for a fifth season, but at this point it looks like that could be its last. Also slipping was FX’s What We Do in the Shadows, which has been dropping regularly the past few weeks. It slipped four slots from Number 28 to Number 32. Note that a few shows like NBC’s Manifest and the FOX entries appear to have improved this week, but that is more a factor of the ratings being down for their networks as the season is coming to an end which has particularly helped the shows that aired in Fall when the numbers were higher.  Most of the rest of the movement for the week was just incidental and you can find the full ratings coverage from this past week in our latest Weekly Roundup post.




The scorecard ranks all of the sci fi and fantasy shows’ ratings performance vs. their network’s ratings benchmark (see metric definitions below).  Shows at or above their benchmark should be okay, whereas those slipping notably below are getting into iffy territory.

Scorecard rankings based on the ratings through April 28th:

Rank (PW) Series Net Std Avg Net Bench % Var Status
1 (1) Game of Thrones (O) HBO 4.92 0.50 883.3% Final Season
2 (2) The Walking Dead (O) AMC 1.88 0.50 276.1% Renewed
3 (3) American Horror Story (O) FX 0.96 0.30 219.7% Renewed
4 (4) The Flash (O) CW 0.63 0.31 102.3% Renewed
5 (5) The Purge (O) USA 0.41 0.30 36.0% Renewed
6 (6) Supernatural (O) CW 0.40 0.31 27.7% Renewed
7 (10) Manifest (O) NBC 1.25 1.07 16.5% Renewed
8 (7) Arrow (O) CW 0.36 0.31 16.0% Renewed
9 (8) Riverdale (O) CW 0.36 0.31 16.0% Renewed
10 (9) Supergirl (O) CW 0.36 0.31 16.0% Renewed
11 (11) The Magicians (O) Syfy 0.19 0.17 10.9% Renewed
12 (13) Black Lightning (O) CW 0.30 0.31 -4.2% Renewed
13 (14) Legacies (O) CW 0.30 0.31 -4.2% Renewed
14 (16) The Passage (O) FOX 0.92 0.97 -5.8% On the Bubble
15 (15) God Friended Me (O) CBS 0.89 0.95 -6.6% Renewed
16 (12) Legends of Tomorrow (O) CW 0.29 0.31 -6.9% Renewed
17 (17) Deadly Class (O) Syfy 0.15 0.17 -12.9% Renewal Possible
18 (18) Siren (O) Freeform 0.17 0.20 -13.1% Renewal Possible
19 (20) Project Blue Book (O) History 0.31 0.36 -13.6% Renewed
20 (21) Roswell New Mexico (O) CW 0.27 0.31 -14.0% Renewed
21 (19) Charmed (O) CW 0.27 0.31 -14.3% Renewed
22 (22) Outlander (O) Starz 0.17 0.20 -15.0% Renewed
23 (23) Star Wars Resistance (O) Disney 0.08 0.10 -22.0% Renewed
24 (26) The Good Place (O) NBC 0.83 1.07 -23.1% Renewed
25 (24) Z Nation (F) Syfy 0.13 0.17 -23.5% Cancelled
26 (25) The Orville (O) FOX 0.74 0.97 -24.4% Renewal Possible
27 (27) MacGyver (O) (F) CBS 0.71 0.95 -25.6% Renewal Possible
28 (29) Cloak and Dagger (O) Freeform 0.14 0.20 -31.3% Renewal Possible
29 (30) Gotham (O) FOX 0.63 0.97 -35.7% Final Season
30 (31) Nightflyers Syfy 0.11 0.17 -36.9% Cancelled
31 (32) The Gifted (O) FOX 0.61 0.97 -37.7% Cancelled
32 (28) What We Do in the Shadows (O) FX 0.17 0.30 -42.0% Renewal Possible
33 (33) Happy (O) Syfy 0.10 0.17 -42.4% On the Bubble
34 (34) Van Helsing (F) Syfy 0.09 0.17 -45.7% Renewed
35 (35) Stan Against Evil IFC 0.04 0.08 -46.9% Cancelled
36 (36) American Gods (O) Starz 0.10 0.20 -50.6% Renewed
37 (38) Channel Zero (O) Syfy 0.07 0.17 -57.8% Cancelled
38 (37) Into the Badlands (O) AMC 0.21 0.50 -58.7% Cancelled
39 (39) Midnight Texas (O) (F) NBC 0.41 1.07 -61.7% Cancelled
40 (40) Mars NGC 0.06 0.16 -65.6% Renewal Possible
41 (41) Counterpart Starz 0.05 0.20 -75.5% Cancelled

Metric Definitions:

Rank (PW): Current rank based on the variance of a show’s season to date ratings average vs. its network’s benchmark (see definition below).  The number in parenthesis is the prior week’s rank.  Note that shows on the streaming services are not included because of insufficient viewership data and foreign imports like Doctor Who will not be included because they rely more heavily on their viewership in their home countries.

Series: (O) indicates the show is owned or co-owned by the network and/or a sister studio. (F) indicates the show airs on Friday when ratings expectations are lower on the broadcast networks.

StD Avg:  The show’s season to date ratings average based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic.

Net Bench:  (Network Benchmark) For the broadcast networks, this is the net’s season to date average rating based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic for non-sports, non-special, non-repeat broadcasts.  For the cable channels, this is the lowest level at which a show is typically renewed by that network if there are enough genre entries on that channel to provide a decent sample.  But note that with cable entries intangibles such as international and/or streaming partnerships can play an important factor in a show’s survival and that is not measured here.

% Var:  The percent variance between a show’s season to date average and the network benchmark as defined above.  The higher the variance, the better a show is performing vs. the benchmark.

Status: My assessment of the likelihood that a show will get renewed or cancelled. The statuses are Renewal Likely, Renewal Possible, On the Bubble, Cancellation Likely (plus Renewed and Cancelled/Ended)

Ratings Source: ShowBuzzDaily and TV by the Numbers

Author: johnnyjay

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