Cancellation Watch Scorecard: Cloak and Dagger Starts in the Top 10, Ghosted and Reverie Slip

Freeform’s Marvel superhero series Cloak & Dagger opened with good numbers for the network last week, which looked even better once Live+3 viewing was factored in, and that gets the show off to a good start in the Scorecard. It stars off at Number 8, and I expect it to chart a similar path to that network’s other new series Siren which was renewed in Spring. Slipping this week, FOX’s Ghosted dropped twelve slots after it slipped onto the schedule on Sunday barely noticed and posted rather poor ratings. That one appears to be in burn-off mode at this point and I’m thinking the network will not be giving serious consideration to bringing it back for a second season. Also slipping was NBC’s Reverie (from Number 33 to Number 38) as that show’s ratings slipped some from its tepid debut numbers.  Most of the rest of the movement for the week was just incidental and you can see the full rankings below.




The scorecard ranks all of the sci fi and fantasy shows’ ratings performance vs. their network’s ratings benchmark (see definition below).  Shows at or above their benchmark should be okay, whereas those slipping notably below are getting into iffy territory.

Scorecard rankings based on the ratings through June 10th (metric definitions below):

Rank (PW) Series Net Std Avg Net Bench % Var Live+7 Avg Rtg Status
1 (1) The Walking Dead (O) AMC 3.39 0.50 578.0% 5.22 Renewed
2 (2) American Horror Story (O) FX 1.10 0.50 120.7% 2.47 Renewed
3 (3) Fear the Walking Dead (O) AMC 0.94 0.50 88.5% n/a Renewal Likely
4 (4) The Flash (O) CW 0.71 0.38 86.4% 1.61 Renewed
5 (6) Outlander Starz 0.32 0.20 59.6% 0.60 Renewed
6 (7) The Magicians (O) Syfy 0.26 0.17 54.3% 0.57 Renewed
7 (8) Black Lightning (O) CW 0.56 0.38 46.5% 0.97 Renewed
8 (n/a) Cloak and Dagger (O) Freeform 0.29 0.20 45.0% n/a Upcoming
9 (9) Supernatural (O) CW 0.53 0.38 37.9% 0.99 Renewed
10 (10) Krypton Syfy 0.23 0.17 36.5% 0.77 Renewed
11 (11) Supergirl (O) CW 0.50 0.38 30.5% 1.01 Renewed
12 (12) Happy (O) Syfy 0.21 0.17 24.3% 0.55 Renewed
13 (13) Riverdale (O) CW 0.43 0.38 12.4% 1.01 Renewed
14 (14) Siren Freeform 0.22 0.20 10.6% 0.55 Renewed
15 (15) Legends of Tomorrow (O) CW 0.41 0.38 7.3% 0.94 Renewed
16 (16) The Expanse Syfy 0.18 0.17 4.6% n/a Renewed
17 (5) Ghosted (O) FOX 1.00 0.97 3.6% n/a On the Bubble
17 (17) The Orville (O) FOX 1.00 0.97 3.6% 2.15 Renewed
19 (18) Westworld HBO 0.62 0.60 2.7% n/a Renewed
20 (19) Z Nation Syfy 0.17 0.17 0.5% 0.37 Renewed
21 (20) Arrow (O) CW 0.38 0.38 -1.2% 0.93 Renewed
22 (21) The X-Files (O) FOX 0.95 0.97 -1.6% n/a Final Season
23 (22) The Good Place (O) NBC 1.04 1.09 -4.7% 1.95 Renewed
24 (25) The Gifted (O) FOX 0.85 0.97 -12.0% 2.08 Renewed
25 (23) The Originals (O) CW 0.33 0.38 -13.0% n/a Final Season
26 (24) The 100 (O) CW 0.33 0.38 -13.0% n/a Renewed
27 (26) Lucifer FOX 0.76 0.97 -20.8% 1.37 Cancelled
28 (27) The Last Man on Earth (O) FOX 0.76 0.97 -21.3% n/a Cancelled
29 (28) Shadowhunters (O) Freeform 0.16 0.20 -21.7% 0.40 Final Season
30 (29) Stan Against Evil IFC 0.06 0.08 -21.9% n/a Renewed
31 (30) MacGyver (O) (F) CBS 0.83 1.07 -22.0% n/a Renewed
32 (31) Final Space (O) TBS 0.23 0.30 -22.7% n/a Renewed
33 (34) Van Helsing Syfy 0.13 0.17 -25.8% 0.30 Renewed
34 (32) Into the Badlands (O) AMC 0.37 0.50 -26.6% n/a On the Bubble
35 (35) The Librarians TNT 0.29 0.40 -27.5% 0.60 Cancelled
36 (36) Mr Robot (O) USA 0.22 0.30 -28.0% 0.44 Renewed
37 (37) Gotham FOX 0.68 0.97 -29.4% 1.41 Renewed
38 (33) Reverie (O) NBC 0.55 0.80 -31.3% n/a On the Bubble
39 (38) iZombie (O) CW 0.24 0.38 -37.8% 0.50 Final Season
40 (41) Colony (O) USA 0.17 0.30 -43.3% n/a On the Bubble
41 (40) Timeless (O) NBC 0.60 1.09 -45.0% 1.23 On the Bubble
42 (39) The Crossing (O) ABC 0.61 1.13 -46.2% 1.60 Cancelled
43 (42) The Inhumans (O) (F) ABC 0.59 1.13 -48.0% 1.13 Cancelled
43 (43) Kevin Probably Saves the World (O) ABC 0.59 1.13 -48.0% 0.97 Cancelled
45 (44) Superstition Syfy 0.09 0.17 -48.5% n/a Cancellation Likely
46 (45) Channel Zero (O) Syfy 0.09 0.17 -49.0% n/a Renewed
47 (46) Ghost Wars Syfy 0.09 0.17 -49.8% n/a Cancelled
48 (47) Counterpart Starz 0.09 0.20 -53.0% n/a Renewed
49 (48) Agents of SHIELD (O) (F) ABC 0.52 1.13 -53.5% 1.23 Renewed
50 (49) The Shannara Chronicles (O) Spike 0.09 0.20 -54.3% 0.30 Cancelled
51 (50) The Exorcist (O) (F) FOX 0.42 0.97 -56.5% 0.60 Cancelled
52 (51) Beyond Freeform 0.09 0.20 -56.7% n/a Cancelled
53 (52) Once Upon A Time (O) (F) ABC 0.46 1.13 -59.3% 1.02 Cancelled
54 (53) Legion (O) FX 0.20 0.50 -60.6% 0.70 Renewed
55 (54) Ash vs Evil Dead Starz 0.08 0.20 -62.5% n/a Cancelled
56 (55) Dirk Gentlys Holistic Detective Agency BBCA 0.07 0.30 -76.7% n/a Cancelled

Metric Definitions:

Rank (PW): Current rank based on the variance of a show’s season to date ratings average vs. its network’s benchmark (see definition below).  The number in parenthesis is the prior week’s rank.  Note that shows on the streaming services are not included because of insufficient viewership data and foreign imports like Doctor Who will not be included because they rely more heavily on their viewership in their home countries.

Series: (O) indicates the show is owned or co-owned by the network and/or a sister studio. (F) indicates the show airs on Friday when ratings expectations are lower on the broadcast networks.

StD Avg:  The show’s season to date ratings average based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic.

Net Bench:  (Network Benchmark) For the broadcast networks, this is the net’s season to date average rating based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic for non-sports, non-special, non-repeat broadcasts.  For the cable channels, this is the lowest level at which a show is typically renewed by that network if there are enough genre entries on that channel to provide a decent sample.  But note that with cable entries intangibles such as international and/or streaming partnerships can play an important factor in a shows survival and that is not measured here.

% Var:  The percent variance between a show’s season to date average and the network benchmark as defined above.  The higher the variance, the better a show is performing vs. the benchmark.

Live+7 Avg Rtg:  The show’s season to date ratings average based on delayed viewing up to three days past the live broadcast.  This data is not available for all shows.

Status: My assessment of the likelihood that a show will get renewed or cancelled. The statuses are Renewal Likely, Renewal Possible, On the Bubble, Cancellation Likely (plus Renewed and Cancelled/Ended)

Ratings Source: ShowBuzzDaily and TV by the Numbers

Author: johnnyjay

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