Cancellation Watch Scorecard: Shadowhunters Slips, Colony Improves

There was not much movement in the Scorecard this week, but at least a couple of shows are worth pointing out. Freeform’s Shadowhunters wrapped up the first half of its third season last week on a low note, causing that show to slip two slots from Number 27 to Number 29. USA’s Colony saw an improvement to its ratings last week and jumped up one slot to Number 45. That is still pretty low, though, and the show’s ratings are down by over 40% this year. Both of those need a Call to Action from their fans to improve their prospects. Most of the rest of the movement for the week was just incidental and you can see the full rankings below.

Note that last week counted as the final week of the season for the broadcast networks and I will not be compiling the network averages through the Summer because their programming will consist of a heavy dose of reruns. Summer originals on the broadcast nets will be compared to an adjusted benchmark that takes into account the drop in viewership over this time of year.




The scorecard ranks all of the sci fi and fantasy shows’ ratings performance vs. their network’s ratings benchmark (see definition below).  Shows at or above their benchmark should be okay, whereas those slipping notably below are getting into iffy territory.

Scorecard rankings based on the ratings through May 20th (metric definitions below):

Rank (PW) Series Net Std Avg Net Bench % Var Live+7 Avg Rtg Status
1 (1) The Walking Dead (O) AMC 3.39 0.50 578.0% 5.22 Renewed
2 (2) American Horror Story (O) FX 1.10 0.50 120.7% 2.47 Renewed
3 (3) Fear the Walking Dead (O) AMC 1.04 0.50 107.0% n/a Renewal Likely
4 (4) The Flash (O) CW 0.71 0.38 84.7% 1.61 Renewed
5 (5) Ghosted (O) FOX 1.60 0.97 65.7% n/a On the Bubble
6 (6) Outlander Starz 0.32 0.20 59.6% 0.60 Renewed
7 (7) The Magicians (O) Syfy 0.26 0.17 54.3% 0.57 Renewed
8 (9) Black Lightning (O) CW 0.56 0.38 46.5% 0.97 Renewed
9 (8) Krypton Syfy 0.24 0.17 42.5% 0.77 Renewal Possible
10 (10) Supernatural (O) CW 0.53 0.38 37.9% 0.99 Renewed
11 (11) Supergirl (O) CW 0.52 0.38 36.3% 1.01 Renewed
12 (12) Happy (O) Syfy 0.21 0.17 24.3% 0.55 Renewed
13 (13) Westworld HBO 0.69 0.60 15.7% n/a Renewed
14 (15) Riverdale (O) CW 0.43 0.38 12.4% 1.01 Renewed
15 (14) Siren Freeform 0.22 0.20 11.3% 0.55 Renewed
16 (16) Legends of Tomorrow (O) CW 0.41 0.38 7.3% 0.94 Renewed
17 (17) The Expanse Syfy 0.18 0.17 4.9% n/a Cancelled
18 (18) The Orville (O) FOX 1.00 0.97 3.6% 2.15 Renewed
19 (19) Z Nation Syfy 0.17 0.17 0.5% 0.37 Renewed
20 (20) Arrow (O) CW 0.38 0.38 -1.2% 0.93 Renewed
21 (22) The X-Files (O) FOX 0.95 0.97 -1.6% n/a Final Season
22 (24) The Good Place (O) NBC 1.04 1.09 -4.7% 1.95 Renewed
23 (21) The Originals (O) CW 0.36 0.38 -6.1% n/a Final Season
24 (23) The 100 (O) CW 0.35 0.38 -8.7% n/a Renewed
25 (25) The Gifted (O) FOX 0.85 0.97 -12.0% 2.08 Renewed
26 (26) Into the Badlands (O) AMC 0.40 0.50 -20.4% n/a Renewal Possible
27 (29) Lucifer FOX 0.76 0.97 -20.8% 1.37 Cancelled
28 (30) The Last Man on Earth (O) FOX 0.76 0.97 -21.3% n/a Cancelled
29 (27) Shadowhunters (O) Freeform 0.16 0.20 -21.7% 0.40 On the Bubble
30 (28) Stan Against Evil IFC 0.06 0.08 -21.9% n/a Renewed
31 (32) MacGyver (O) (F) CBS 0.83 1.07 -22.0% n/a Renewed
32 (31) Final Space (O) TBS 0.23 0.30 -22.7% n/a Renewed
33 (33) Van Helsing Syfy 0.13 0.17 -25.8% 0.30 Renewed
34 (34) The Librarians TNT 0.29 0.40 -27.5% 0.60 Cancelled
35 (35) Mr Robot (O) USA 0.22 0.30 -28.0% 0.44 Renewed
36 (36) Gotham FOX 0.68 0.97 -29.4% 1.41 Renewed
37 (37) iZombie (O) CW 0.25 0.38 -35.9% 0.50 Renewed
38 (38) The Crossing (O) ABC 0.66 1.13 -41.7% 1.60 Cancelled
39 (39) Timeless (O) NBC 0.60 1.09 -45.0% 1.23 On the Bubble
40 (40) The Inhumans (O) (F) ABC 0.59 1.13 -48.0% 1.13 Cancelled
40 (40) Kevin Probably Saves the World (O) ABC 0.59 1.13 -48.0% 0.97 Cancelled
42 (42) Superstition Syfy 0.09 0.17 -48.5% n/a Cancellation Likely
43 (43) Channel Zero (O) Syfy 0.09 0.17 -49.0% n/a Renewed
44 (44) Ghost Wars Syfy 0.09 0.17 -49.8% n/a Cancelled
45 (46) Colony (O) USA 0.15 0.30 -51.1% n/a On the Bubble
46 (45) Counterpart Starz 0.09 0.20 -53.0% n/a Renewed
47 (47) Agents of SHIELD (O) (F) ABC 0.52 1.13 -53.5% 1.23 Renewed
48 (48) The Shannara Chronicles (O) Spike 0.09 0.20 -54.3% 0.30 Cancelled
49 (50) The Exorcist (O) (F) FOX 0.42 0.97 -56.5% 0.60 Cancelled
50 (49) Beyond Freeform 0.09 0.20 -56.7% n/a Cancelled
51 (51) Legion (O) FX 0.20 0.50 -59.1% 0.70 On the Bubble
52 (52) Once Upon A Time (O) (F) ABC 0.46 1.13 -59.3% 1.02 Cancelled
53 (53) Ash vs Evil Dead Starz 0.08 0.20 -62.5% n/a Cancelled
54 (54) Dirk Gentlys Holistic Detective Agency BBCA 0.07 0.30 -76.7% n/a Cancelled

Metric Definitions:

Rank (PW): Current rank based on the variance of a show’s season to date ratings average vs. its network’s benchmark (see definition below).  The number in parenthesis is the prior week’s rank.  Note that shows on the streaming services are not included because of insufficient viewership data and foreign imports like Doctor Who will not be included because they rely more heavily on their viewership in their home countries.

Series: (O) indicates the show is owned or co-owned by the network and/or a sister studio. (F) indicates the show airs on Friday when ratings expectations are lower on the broadcast networks.

StD Avg:  The show’s season to date ratings average based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic.

Net Bench:  (Network Benchmark) For the broadcast networks, this is the net’s season to date average rating based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic for non-sports, non-special, non-repeat broadcasts.  For the cable channels, this is the lowest level at which a show is typically renewed by that network if there are enough genre entries on that channel to provide a decent sample.  But note that with cable entries intangibles such as international and/or streaming partnerships can play an important factor in a shows survival and that is not measured here.

% Var:  The percent variance between a show’s season to date average and the network benchmark as defined above.  The higher the variance, the better a show is performing vs. the benchmark.

Live+7 Avg Rtg:  The show’s season to date ratings average based on delayed viewing up to three days past the live broadcast.  This data is not available for all shows.

Status: My assessment of the likelihood that a show will get renewed or cancelled. The statuses are Renewal Likely, Renewal Possible, On the Bubble, Cancellation Likely (plus Renewed and Cancelled/Ended)

Ratings Source: ShowBuzzDaily and TV by the Numbers

Author: johnnyjay

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.