TBS alien-abduction sitcom People of Earth returned for its second season last Monday with ratings lower than what it saw in Fall of 2016. It was already on the Scorecard because it has been less than a year since it first season wrapped, and it slipped in the rankings (from Number 29 to Number 41) due to its ratings declines. I don’t consider that one to be in trouble at the moment, but we will have to see how it tracks in the coming weeks. Both Killjoys and Dark Matter improved (by four slots each) due to their ratings spikes on Friday (more on that at this link). Teen Wolf improved (from Number 42 to Number 39) as it returned for its final ten episodes with higher numbers than what it was seeing in Winter. Most of the rest of the movement for the week was incidental.
The scorecard ranks all of the sci fi & fantasy shows’ ratings performance vs. their network’s ratings benchmark (see definition below). Shows at or above their benchmark should be okay, whereas those slipping notably below are getting into iffy territory.
Scorecard based on the ratings through July 30th (metric definitions below):
| Rank (PW) | Series | Net | Std Avg | Net Bench | % Var | Live+7 Avg Rtg | Status |
| 1 (1) | The Walking Dead (O) | AMC | 5.39 | 0.60 | 798.2% | 7.95 | Renewed |
| 2 (2) | Game of Thrones (O) | HBO | 4.45 | 0.60 | 641.1% | n/a | Renewed |
| 3 (3) | American Horror Story (O) | FX | 1.58 | 0.60 | 162.5% | 3.16 | Renewed |
| 4 (4) | The Flash (O) | CW | 1.06 | 0.50 | 112.2% | 1.88 | Renewed |
| 5 (5) | Fear the Walking Dead (O) | AMC | 0.98 | 0.60 | 62.8% | 1.83 | Renewed |
| 6 (6) | The Magicians | Syfy | 0.31 | 0.20 | 54.6% | 0.71 | Renewed |
| 7 (7) | Supergirl (O) | CW | 0.72 | 0.50 | 45.2% | 1.28 | Renewed |
| 8 (8) | Star Wars Rebels (O) | DXD | 0.14 | 0.10 | 44.7% | 0.34 | Renewed |
| 9 (9) | American Gods | STARZ | 0.28 | 0.20 | 38.1% | 0.55 | Renewed |
| 10 (10) | Westworld | HBO | 0.80 | 0.60 | 33.8% | 1.50 | Renewed |
| 11 (11) | Into the Badlands | AMC | 0.79 | 0.60 | 31.5% | 1.30 | Renewed |
| 12 (12) | Son of Zorn (O) | FOX | 1.28 | 0.98 | 30.2% | n/a | Cancelled |
| 13 (13) | Legends of Tomorrow (O) | CW | 0.64 | 0.50 | 28.8% | 1.13 | Renewed |
| 14 (14) | Arrow (O) | CW | 0.63 | 0.50 | 25.7% | 1.12 | Renewed |
| 15 (15) | Z Nation | Syfy | 0.25 | 0.20 | 24.3% | 0.42 | Renewed |
| 16 (16) | Supernatural (O) | CW | 0.60 | 0.50 | 19.6% | 1.07 | Renewed |
| 17 (17) | Gotham | FOX | 1.09 | 0.98 | 10.7% | 1.80 | Renewed |
| 18 (18) | Lucifer | FOX | 1.03 | 0.98 | 4.8% | 1.77 | Renewed |
| 19 (19) | Shadowhunters | Free | 0.26 | 0.25 | 3.3% | 0.43 | Renewed |
| 20 (20) | Stan Against Evil | IFC | 0.08 | 0.08 | -4.7% | n/a | Renewed |
| 21 (21) | The Librarians | TNT | 0.47 | 0.50 | -5.2% | 0.88 | Renewed |
| 22 (22) | Channel Zero | Syfy | 0.19 | 0.20 | -5.8% | 0.38 | Renewed |
| 23 (23) | The Last Man on Earth (O) | FOX | 0.91 | 0.98 | -7.0% | 1.48 | Renewed |
| 24 (24) | The Good Place (O) | NBC | 1.25 | 1.35 | -7.4% | 1.91 | Renewed |
| 25 (25) | Colony | USA | 0.26 | 0.30 | -12.6% | 0.60 | Renewed |
| 26 (30) | Killjoys | Syfy | 0.17 | 0.20 | -13.0% | n/a | Renewal Possible |
| 27 (26) | MacGyver (O) (F) | CBS | 1.08 | 1.26 | -14.9% | 1.67 | Renewed |
| 28 (27) | The Expanse | Syfy | 0.17 | 0.20 | -15.0% | 0.39 | Renewed |
| 29 (28) | Timeless | NBC | 1.11 | 1.35 | -17.6% | 2.07 | Renewed |
| 30 (31) | Incorporated | Syfy | 0.16 | 0.20 | -20.0% | 0.34 | Cancelled |
| 31 (32) | Aftermath | Syfy | 0.16 | 0.20 | -20.8% | 0.33 | Cancelled |
| 32 (34) | Van Helsing | Syfy | 0.16 | 0.20 | -21.3% | 0.30 | Renewed |
| 33 (36) | Ash vs Evil Dead | STARZ | 0.16 | 0.20 | -21.5% | 0.34 | Renewed |
| 34 (35) | Zoo (O) | Syfy | 0.54 | 0.70 | -22.9% | n/a | Cancellation Likely |
| 35 (38) | Once Upon A Time (O) | ABC | 0.93 | 1.21 | -23.1% | 1.53 | Renewed |
| 36 (39) | Guardians of the Galaxy | DXD | 0.08 | 0.10 | -24.0% | n/a | On the Bubble |
| 37 (37) | The Mist | Spike | 0.15 | 0.20 | -24.2% | 0.50 | On the Bubble |
| 38 (33) | Blood Drive | Syfy | 0.15 | 0.20 | -24.3% | n/a | On the Bubble |
| 39 (42) | Teen Wolf | MTV | 0.23 | 0.30 | -24.5% | 0.44 | Final Season |
| 40 (40) | Vampire Diaries (O) (F) | CW | 0.38 | 0.50 | -24.7% | 0.75 | Ended |
| 41 (29) | People of Earth | TBS | 0.30 | 0.40 | -25.0% | n/a | Renewal Possible |
| 41 (41) | Legion (O) | FX | 0.45 | 0.60 | -25.0% | 1.17 | Renewed |
| 41 (45) | Dark Matter | Syfy | 0.15 | 0.20 | -25.0% | 0.40 | Renewal Possible |
| 44 (43) | The 100 (O) | CW | 0.34 | 0.46 | -25.9% | 0.64 | Renewed |
| 45 (44) | Making History (O) | NBC | 0.67 | 0.90 | -26.2% | n/a | Cancelled |
| 46 (46) | Preacher | AMC | 0.44 | 0.60 | -26.7% | 1.20 | Renewal Possible |
| 47 (47) | The Originals (O) (F) | CW | 0.32 | 0.46 | -30.9% | 0.63 | Final Season |
| 48 (49) | The Exorcist (O) (F) | FOX | 0.67 | 0.98 | -31.7% | 1.09 | Renewed |
| 49 (50) | iZombie (O) | CW | 0.30 | 0.46 | -34.3% | 0.63 | Renewed |
| 50 (48) | The Strain | FX | 0.38 | 0.60 | -36.1% | 0.85 | Final Season |
| 51 (51) | Scream Queens (O) | FOX | 0.61 | 0.98 | -37.8% | 0.96 | Cancelled |
| 52 (52) | Agents of SHIELD (O) | ABC | 0.74 | 1.21 | -39.3% | 1.58 | Renewed |
| 53 (53) | Wynonna Earp | Syfy | 0.12 | 0.20 | -40.0% | n/a | Renewed |
| 54 (54) | Grimm (O) (F) | NBC | 0.80 | 1.35 | -40.7% | 1.43 | Ended |
| 55 (55) | The Leftovers | HBO | 0.35 | 0.60 | -42.1% | n/a | Final Season |
| 56 (56) | Powerless (O) | NBC | 0.70 | 1.22 | -42.6% | n/a | Cancelled |
| 57 (57) | Beyond | Free | 0.14 | 0.25 | -42.7% | n/a | Renewed |
| 58 (58) | Emerald City (O) (F) | NBC | 0.69 | 1.22 | -43.5% | 1.23 | Cancelled |
| 59 (59) | Sleepy Hollow (O) (F) | FOX | 0.51 | 0.90 | -43.8% | 0.94 | Cancelled |
| 60 (60) | Frequency (O) | CW | 0.28 | 0.50 | -44.4% | 0.51 | Cancelled |
| 61 (61) | Salem | WGN | 0.08 | 0.15 | -48.0% | n/a | Cancelled |
| 62 (62) | Falling Water | USA | 0.15 | 0.30 | -51.0% | 0.30 | Renewed |
| 63 (63) | 12 Monkeys | Syfy | 0.09 | 0.20 | -53.3% | n/a | Renewed |
| 64 (64) | Time After Time | ABC | 0.53 | 1.19 | -55.9% | 0.70 | Cancelled |
| 65 (65) | Twin Peaks | Show | 0.10 | 0.25 | -59.6% | n/a | Final Season |
| 66 (66) | Dirk Gentlys Holistic Detective Agency | BBCA | 0.09 | 0.40 | -77.5% | n/a | Renewed |
| 67 (67) | Orphan Black | BBCA | 0.07 | 0.40 | -81.6% | n/a | Final Season |
Metric Definitions:
Rank (PW): Current rank based on the variance of a show’s season to date ratings average vs. its network’s benchmark (see definition below). The number in parenthesis is the prior week’s rank. Note that shows on the streaming services are not included because of insufficient viewership data and foreign imports like Doctor Who will not be included because they rely more heavily on their viewership in their home countries.
Series: (O) indicates the show is owned/produced by the network and/or a sister studio. (F) indicates the show airs on Friday when ratings expectations are lower. These typically just apply to the broadcast networks where they are more of a factor.
StD Avg: The show’s season to date ratings average based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic.
Net Bench: (Network Benchmark) For the broadcast networks, this is the net’s season to date average rating based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic for non-sports, non-special, non-repeat broadcasts (for FOX, Empire is also excluded because it counts as an outlier). For the cable channels, this is the lowest level at which a show is typically renewed by that network if there are enough genre entries on that channel to provide a decent sample. But note that with cable entries intangibles such as international and/or streaming partnerships can play an important factor in a shows survival and that is not measured here.
% Var: The percent variance between a show’s season to date average and the network benchmark as defined above. The higher the variance, the better a show is performing vs. the benchmark.
Live+7 Avg Rtg: The show’s season to date ratings average based on delayed viewing up to three days past the live broadcast. This data is not available for all shows.
Status: My assessment of the likelihood that a show will get renewed or cancelled. The statuses are Renewal Likely, Renewal Possible, On the Bubble, Cancellation Likely (plus Renewed and Cancelled/Ended)
Ratings Source: ShowBuzzDaily and TV by the Numbers
