As covered in my Friday This Week In Sci Fi TV column, Syfy’s new Grindhouse series Blood Drive had a decent debut last Wednesday, pulling a 0.24 rating based on the overnights in the 18-49 demographic, and that lands it at the Number 15 slot in the Cancellation Watch Scorecard. If that show’s numbers do not slip too much in the coming weeks, expect it to cruise into a second season. Also, Dark Matter and Wynonna Earp both improved their rankings with the ratings bump in their second week after tepid Summer debuts just the week before (more on that at this link). The former improved six slots to Number 30 and the latter improved seven slots to Number 50. Apart from that, the rest of the movement on the Scorecard for the week was just incidental.
The scorecard ranks all of the sci fi & fantasy shows’ ratings performance vs. their network’s ratings benchmark (see definition below). Shows at or above their benchmark should be okay, whereas those slipping notably below are getting into iffy territory.
Scorecard based on the ratings through June 18th (metric definitions below):
| Rank (PW) | Series | Net | Std Avg | Net Bench | % Var | Live+7 Avg Rtg | Status |
| 1 (1) | The Walking Dead (O) | AMC | 5.39 | 0.60 | 798.2% | 7.95 | Renewed |
| 2 (2) | American Horror Story (O) | FX | 1.58 | 0.60 | 162.5% | 3.16 | Renewed |
| 3 (3) | The Flash (O) | CW | 1.06 | 0.50 | 112.2% | 1.88 | Renewed |
| 4 (4) | Fear the Walking Dead (O) | AMC | 1.05 | 0.60 | 74.4% | n/a | Renewed |
| 5 (5) | The Magicians | Syfy | 0.31 | 0.20 | 54.6% | 0.71 | Renewed |
| 6 (6) | Supergirl (O) | CW | 0.72 | 0.50 | 45.2% | 1.28 | Renewed |
| 7 (7) | Star Wars Rebels (O) | DXD | 0.14 | 0.10 | 44.7% | 0.34 | Renewed |
| 8 (8) | American Gods | STARZ | 0.28 | 0.20 | 38.1% | 0.60 | Renewed |
| 9 (9) | Westworld | HBO | 0.80 | 0.60 | 33.8% | 1.50 | Renewed |
| 10 (10) | Into the Badlands | AMC | 0.79 | 0.60 | 31.5% | 1.30 | Renewed |
| 11 (11) | Son of Zorn (O) | FOX | 1.28 | 0.98 | 30.2% | n/a | Cancelled |
| 12 (12) | Legends of Tomorrow (O) | CW | 0.64 | 0.50 | 28.8% | 1.13 | Renewed |
| 13 (13) | Arrow (O) | CW | 0.63 | 0.50 | 25.7% | 1.12 | Renewed |
| 14 (14) | Z Nation | Syfy | 0.25 | 0.20 | 24.3% | 0.42 | Renewed |
| 15 (n/a) | Blood Drive | Syfy | 0.24 | 0.20 | 20.0% | n/a | Renewal Possible |
| 16 (15) | Supernatural (O) | CW | 0.60 | 0.50 | 19.6% | 1.07 | Renewed |
| 17 (16) | Gotham | FOX | 1.09 | 0.98 | 10.7% | 1.81 | Renewed |
| 18 (17) | Shadowhunters | Free | 0.27 | 0.25 | 8.3% | 0.50 | Renewed |
| 19 (18) | Lucifer | FOX | 1.03 | 0.98 | 4.8% | 1.78 | Renewed |
| 20 (19) | Stan Against Evil | IFC | 0.08 | 0.08 | -4.7% | n/a | Renewed |
| 21 (20) | The Librarians | TNT | 0.47 | 0.50 | -5.2% | 0.88 | Renewed |
| 22 (21) | Channel Zero | Syfy | 0.19 | 0.20 | -5.8% | 0.38 | Renewed |
| 23 (22) | The Last Man on Earth (O) | FOX | 0.91 | 0.98 | -7.0% | 1.48 | Renewed |
| 24 (23) | The Good Place (O) | NBC | 1.25 | 1.35 | -7.4% | 1.91 | Renewed |
| 25 (24) | Colony | USA | 0.26 | 0.30 | -12.6% | 0.60 | Renewed |
| 26 (25) | MacGyver (O) (F) | CBS | 1.08 | 1.26 | -14.9% | 1.67 | Renewed |
| 27 (26) | The Expanse | Syfy | 0.17 | 0.20 | -15.0% | 0.39 | Renewed |
| 28 (27) | Timeless | NBC | 1.11 | 1.35 | -17.6% | 2.07 | Renewed |
| 29 (28) | People of Earth | TBS | 0.33 | 0.40 | -18.1% | n/a | Renewed |
| 30 (29) | Incorporated | Syfy | 0.16 | 0.20 | -20.0% | 0.34 | Cancelled |
| 30 (36) | Dark Matter | Syfy | 0.16 | 0.20 | -20.0% | n/a | Renewal Possible |
| 32 (30) | Aftermath | Syfy | 0.16 | 0.20 | -20.8% | 0.33 | Cancelled |
| 33 (31) | Van Helsing | Syfy | 0.16 | 0.20 | -21.3% | 0.30 | Renewed |
| 34 (32) | Ash vs Evil Dead | STARZ | 0.16 | 0.20 | -21.5% | 0.34 | Renewed |
| 35 (33) | Once Upon A Time (O) | ABC | 0.93 | 1.21 | -23.1% | 1.53 | Renewed |
| 36 (34) | Guardians of the Galaxy | DXD | 0.08 | 0.10 | -24.0% | n/a | On the Bubble |
| 37 (35) | Vampire Diaries (O) (F) | CW | 0.38 | 0.50 | -24.7% | 0.75 | Ended |
| 38 (37) | Legion (O) | FX | 0.45 | 0.60 | -25.0% | 1.17 | Renewed |
| 39 (38) | Teen Wolf | MTV | 0.22 | 0.30 | -25.7% | 0.44 | Final Season |
| 40 (39) | The 100 (O) | CW | 0.34 | 0.46 | -25.9% | 0.64 | Renewed |
| 41 (40) | Making History (O) | NBC | 0.67 | 0.90 | -26.2% | n/a | Cancelled |
| 42 (41) | The Originals (O) (F) | CW | 0.32 | 0.46 | -30.6% | 0.61 | Renewed |
| 43 (42) | The Strain | FX | 0.42 | 0.60 | -30.8% | 0.85 | Renewed |
| 44 (43) | The Exorcist (O) (F) | FOX | 0.67 | 0.98 | -31.7% | 1.09 | Renewed |
| 45 (44) | iZombie (O) | CW | 0.30 | 0.46 | -34.3% | 0.66 | Renewed |
| 46 (45) | Scream Queens (O) | FOX | 0.61 | 0.98 | -37.8% | 0.96 | Cancelled |
| 47 (46) | Agents of SHIELD (O) | ABC | 0.74 | 1.21 | -39.3% | 1.58 | Renewed |
| 48 (47) | Grimm (O) (F) | NBC | 0.80 | 1.35 | -40.7% | 1.43 | Ended |
| 49 (48) | The Leftovers | HBO | 0.35 | 0.60 | -42.1% | n/a | Final Season |
| 50 (57) | Wynonna Earp | Syfy | 0.12 | 0.20 | -42.5% | n/a | On the Bubble |
| 51 (49) | Powerless (O) | NBC | 0.70 | 1.22 | -42.6% | n/a | Cancelled |
| 52 (50) | Beyond | Free | 0.14 | 0.25 | -42.7% | n/a | Renewed |
| 53 (51) | Emerald City (O) (F) | NBC | 0.69 | 1.22 | -43.5% | 1.23 | Cancelled |
| 54 (52) | Sleepy Hollow (O) (F) | FOX | 0.51 | 0.90 | -43.8% | 0.94 | Cancelled |
| 55 (53) | Frequency (O) | CW | 0.28 | 0.50 | -44.4% | 0.51 | Cancelled |
| 56 (54) | Salem | WGN | 0.08 | 0.15 | -48.0% | n/a | Cancelled |
| 57 (55) | Falling Water | USA | 0.15 | 0.30 | -51.0% | 0.30 | Renewed |
| 58 (56) | 12 Monkeys | Syfy | 0.09 | 0.20 | -53.3% | n/a | Renewed |
| 59 (58) | Time After Time | ABC | 0.53 | 1.19 | -55.9% | 0.70 | Cancelled |
| 60 (59) | Twin Peaks | Show | 0.10 | 0.25 | -61.6% | n/a | Final Season |
| 61 (60) | Dirk Gentlys Holistic Detective Agency | BBCA | 0.09 | 0.40 | -77.5% | n/a | Renewed |
| 62 (61) | Orphan Black | BBCA | 0.07 | 0.40 | -83.8% | n/a | Final Season |
Metric Definitions:
Rank (PW): Current rank based on the variance of a show’s season to date ratings average vs. its network’s benchmark (see definition below). The number in parenthesis is the prior week’s rank. Note that shows on the streaming services are not included because of insufficient viewership data and foreign imports like Doctor Who will not be included because they rely more heavily on their viewership in their home countries.
Series: (O) indicates the show is owned/produced by the network and/or a sister studio. (F) indicates the show airs on Friday when ratings expectations are lower. These typically just apply to the broadcast networks where they are more of a factor.
StD Avg: The show’s season to date ratings average based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic.
Net Bench: (Network Benchmark) For the broadcast networks, this is the net’s season to date average rating based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic for non-sports, non-special, non-repeat broadcasts (for FOX, Empire is also excluded because it counts as an outlier). For the cable channels, this is the lowest level at which a show is typically renewed by that network if there are enough genre entries on that channel to provide a decent sample. But note that with cable entries intangibles such as international and/or streaming partnerships can play an important factor in a shows survival and that is not measured here.
% Var: The percent variance between a show’s season to date average and the network benchmark as defined above. The higher the variance, the better a show is performing vs. the benchmark.
Live+7 Avg Rtg: The show’s season to date ratings average based on delayed viewing up to three days past the live broadcast. This data is not available for all shows.
Status: My assessment of the likelihood that a show will get renewed or cancelled. The statuses are Renewal Likely, Renewal Possible, On the Bubble, Cancellation Likely (plus Renewed and Cancelled/Ended)
Ratings Source: ShowBuzzDaily and TV by the Numbers
