Unless otherwise noted, the ratings numbers below are based on the final overnights and may vary slightly from the preliminaries reported on the Cancelled Sci Fi Twitter Site.
Ratings results for the sci fi / fantasy shows airing Thursday Apr 2nd thru Monday Apr 6th (analysis and metric definitions below):
Note: The Thursday broadcast network shows were covered in the previous Cancellation Watch post.
Olympus Syfy Thu 4/2 10 PM
Rating: 0.2 | % Chng PW: n/a | Tot Viewers (MM): 0.9 | StD Rating: 0.2 | Target: 0.4 | Cancellation Alert: Medium
Not a good bow for this show as viewers are probably asking what the heck it is doing on Syfy in the first place. (More on this one below)
Dig USA Thu 4/2 10 PM
Rating: 0.2 | % Chng PW: -50.0% | Tot Viewers (MM): 0.9 | StD Rating: 0.4 | Target: 1.0 | Cancellation Alert: Moderate
It’s numbers were already low and it took a significant drop this last week. Not a good sign.
Grimm NBC Fri 4/3 9 PM
Rating: 1.0 | % Chng PW: 0.0% | Tot Viewers (MM): 4.5 | StD Rating: 1.2 | Target: 1.2 | Cancellation Alert: Renewed
It’s holding, but at a low level. If it remains here next season, that could be its last.
12 Monkeys Syfy Fri 4/3 9 PM
Rating: 0.2 | % Chng PW: 0.0% | Tot Viewers (MM): 0.6 | StD Rating: 0.3 | Target: 0.4 | Cancellation Alert: Renewed
It was still at a 0.2 rating and it only pulled in 580k total viewers. Can it improve with its season finale this week?
Helix Syfy Fri 4/3 10 PM
Rating: 0.2 | % Chng PW: 0.0% | Tot Viewers (MM): 0.5 | StD Rating: 0.2 | Target: 0.4 | Cancellation Alert: Elevated
No improvement for this show as it looks to be on its way out.
Outlander Starz Sat 4/4 9 PM
Rating: 0.3 | % Chng PW: n/a | Tot Viewers (MM): 1.2 | StD Rating: 0.3 | Target: 0.4 | Cancellation Alert: Renewed
It was down from where it ended last year, but still pulling decent numbers for Starz. (More on this one below)
Once Upon A Time ABC Sun 4/5 8 PM
Rating: Preempted | % Chng PW: n/a | Tot Viewers (MM): 5.4 | StD Rating: 2.4 | Target: 1.8 | Cancellation Alert: Low
Preempted. Resumes new episodes next week.
The Walking Dead AMC Sun 4/5 9 PM
Rating: Season Ended | % Chng PW: n/a | Tot Viewers (MM): n/a | StD Rating: 7.4 | Target: 2.0 | Cancellation Alert: Renewed
Season Ended. Renewed for a sixth season which will air Fall 2015.
The Last Man on Earth (R) FOX Sun 4/5 9 PM
Rating: 0.7 | % Chng PW: n/a | Tot Viewers (MM): 2.0 | StD Rating: 1.8 | Target: 1.6 | Cancellation Alert: Low
Repeat. Resumes new episodes next week.
Salem WGN Sun 4/5 10 PM
Rating: 0.2 | % Chng PW: n/a | Tot Viewers (MM): 0.5 | StD Rating: 0.2 | Target: 0.4 | Cancellation Alert: Low
Not a great bow for its second season, but these numbers may be good enough for WGN especially if they have international financing backing the show. (More on this one below)
The Originals CW Mon 4/6 8 PM
Rating: 0.5 | % Chng PW: n/a | Tot Viewers (MM): 1.1 | StD Rating: 0.6 | Target: 0.7 | Cancellation Alert: Renewed
Another low outing following weeks of on again / off again airings. No surprise there.
Gotham (R) FOX Mon 4/6 8 PM
Rating: 0.5 | % Chng PW: n/a | Tot Viewers (MM): 2.0 | StD Rating: 2.3 | Target: 1.8 | Cancellation Alert: Renewed
Repeat. Resumes new episodes next week.
Australia New Zealand), though I did hear it referred to as an “acquisition”, so it does not appear to be one that Syfy developed exclusively. But with the debut numbers that it pulled and the generally negative critical response to the show thus far, I have a hard time seeing this one sticking around for a second season. I am starting it at only a Medium Cancellation Alert status, though, because shows like this (and also USA’s Dig and A&E’s The Returned) could have international financing and syndication which could help keep them going. Though I would doubt at this point if Syfy would elect to bring Olympus back to their schedule for a second season.
Series Returns: On Saturday, Starz’s fantasy series Outlander returned for the second half of its first season and saw its numbers drop slightly to a 0.3 rating in the 18-49 demo with 1.2 million total viewers. That’s down form the 0.4 score / 1.4 million total viewers it had with its last new episode last September, but those are still good numbers for the pay channel Starz. And this show has continued to draw some good buzz and still looks like a winner for that network which continues to try and compete with the big boys HBO and Showtime. It has already been renewed for a second season and I expect its numbers to hold steady for the second half of its first if not trend up like we saw last Summer. So at this point I see no reason to be concerned with the slight dip in its numbers. On Sunday, WGN’s Salem had its second season bow, pulling a 0.2 rating with about five hundred thousand total viewers. That’s down from the 0.5 score the show had for its first season bow, but may still be good enough for that cable network which is making its initial forays into original programming. Salem has enjoyed some decent buzz thus far, which may be good enough at this point to offset its less than stellar ratings. Plus, there could be international financing and syndication helping this one, so I don’t think it is in trouble at the moment.
I will post the results for The Returned when they are available later today or early tomorrow. Be sure keep an eye out for that and all the latest numbers and any breaking news throughout the week at the Cancelled Sci Fi Twitter Site. You can see the status of all the currently airing sci fi / fantasy shows at the Cancellation Watch page and also the latest Sci Fi TV Power Rankings post. And for more information on where I get these numbers and how I make my Cancellation Alert assessments, check out the Cancelled Sci Fi FAQ.
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Metric Definitions:
Rating: Overnight rating in the 18-49 demographic for same day viewing based on the final numbers unless otherwise noted
% Chng PW: The percentage change +/- for this week’s rating vs. last week’s rating.
Tot Viewers: Estimated total viewers (age 2+) to tune in to the episode for same day viewing.
StD Rating: Season to date average for the rating metric tracked above.
Target: The estimated average rating that the show needs to sustain to get renewed.
Cancellation Alert: My prediction of the likelihood that a show will get cancelled. From least to most likely the statuses are Low, Moderate, Medium, Elevated, and High.
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Ratings Source: TV by the Numbers and ShowBuzzDaily
Nielsen TV Ratings: ©2014 The Nielsen Company. All Rights Reserved.